Venezuela vs Bolivia: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (07.06.2025)

In the early hours of Saturday, June 7 at 05:00 WIB, the Venezuela national football team will host Bolivia at the Estadio Monumental in Maturín in Matchday 15 of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. These are direct competitors for the seventh spot, which grants a ticket to the intercontinental playoffs. The hosts have collected 15 points, while the visitors are just behind with 14, making this a highly crucial match for both sides.

We present a prediction for the Venezuela vs Bolivia match, taking into account the high motivation of both teams, even though bookmakers have a clear favorite. A win for the “Reds” is priced at odds of 1.41, a draw at 4.50, and a win for the “Greens” at 9.45. The match is not expected to be highly productive in terms of goals, with the over 2.5 market set at 2.19. Bets for both teams to score are offered at 2.53.

Venezuela

In the summer of 2024, Fernando Batista’s team shone in the Copa América group stage, winning all three matches in a group with Mexico, Ecuador, and Jamaica. However, they were knocked out in the quarterfinals by Canada on penalties. Afterwards, Venezuela went through a puzzling transformation: they entered a seven-match winless streak in the World Cup qualifiers, significantly complicating their path to the tournament. In the previous round, they finally managed to win 1-0 at home against Peru. Still, it must be noted that Venezuela’s squad is relatively modest and lacks any major stars.

Bolivia

Óscar Villegas’s squad is even more modest. There are no players from European clubs, not even from lower-tier teams. It’s surprising how the “Greens” managed to beat Venezuela, Chile, and Colombia consecutively in the fall of last year. However, that run was followed by a five-match winless streak. Still, the points earned during that successful period have kept fans hoping for a shot at the seventh place. A loss on Saturday could crush those hopes.

Head-to-Head and Stats

Since 2021, the teams have faced each other three times. Bolivia has won twice, while Venezuela has won once. A key trend: the home team has always won convincingly. In the first round of the current qualifiers, Bolivia thrashed Venezuela 4-0 at home.

Prediction

Several factors are taken into account in this prediction. First, in recent head-to-heads, teams have dominated at home. Second, Venezuela is yet to lose a home match in the current qualifiers. Third, Bolivia has conceded an average of 3.29 goals per away game in this qualifying campaign. Therefore, a solid bet could be Venezuela’s individual total goals over 1.5 at odds of 1.71.