Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: La Liga Prediction (19.05.2025)

The La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao will take place on 19 May 2025 at 12:00 AM WIB, at the Estadio de Mestalla. Bookmakers give a slight edge to the visitors, but the form of both sides suggests a tight encounter is ahead. Let’s break down the teams’ current shape and offer a smart prediction.

🦇 Valencia

Los Che have hit a great run of form, rising from relegation danger to European qualification contenders. However, their chances of finishing in the top eight took a blow after a surprise 0–1 loss to Alavés last week. That defeat ended a 10-match unbeaten run and also snapped a 10-game scoring streak.

At home, however, Valencia are much stronger, winning 4 of their last 5 matches at Mestalla and drawing the other. The influence of Carlos Corberán is evident, as the team now plays with greater attacking intent.

🦁 Athletic Bilbao

It’s been a memorable season for the Basques. After a deep run to the Europa League semi-finals—where they lost to Manchester United—Ernesto Valverde’s men are now focused entirely on securing a top-four finish in La Liga.

Athletic are solid at the back, boasting the best defensive record in the league, even better than Atlético Madrid. Their wing play has been vital to their attacking threat, led by brothers Iñaki Williams and Nico Williams, but both are now sidelined with injuries—a major setback to their offensive output in this final stretch.

📊 Head-to-Head Stats

In their last 5 meetings, Athletic Bilbao lead 3–1, with 1 draw. They also won the reverse fixture 1–0 earlier this season, although Valencia were in far worse form at that time.

Prediction

Given Valencia’s resurgent home form and the injury-depleted Athletic attack, we back Valencia to score at least one goal.

📈 Recommended Bet:
Valencia Over 1 Goal (Team Total Over 1) – Odds: 1.96

Keep an eye on Hugo Duro and Diego López, who have been key figures in Valencia’s attacking resurgence. A 1–1 or 2–1 result looks highly possible.