Union Berlin vs Stuttgart: Bundesliga Prediction (23.08.2025)

On Saturday, August 23, at 15:30 CEST, at the An der Alten Försterei stadium in Berlin, local club Union Berlin will host Stuttgart in the opening round of the 2025–26 German Bundesliga. Last season, Union finished 13th in the standings, while Stuttgart ended in ninth place.

For the Union Berlin vs Stuttgart match, bookmakers lean slightly in favor of the visitors. A win for the “Iron Union” is offered at odds of 3.62, a draw at 3.72, and a Stuttgart win at 2.03. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.68, indicating expectations of an average Bundesliga scoring rate. Both teams to score is available at 1.59.

Union Berlin

During the summer, Steffen Baumgart’s side mainly focused on strengthening the attack, which is unsurprising given their low scoring record last season. Additions include Andrija Ilic from Lille, Oliver Burke from Werder Bremen, and Dmitry Bogdanov from Dresden. From Stuttgart, they also acquired South Korean attacking midfielder Woo-yeong Jeong.

However, Union lost their last four summer friendlies by the same 0–1 scoreline. Their strongest opponents were Espanyol from Spain and Olympiacos from Greece. In the German Cup, they convincingly defeated Gütersloh 5–0, but that result is not considered very telling given the opposition’s level.

Stuttgart

Thanks to the sale of French midfielder Enzo Millot to Al-Ahli, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team boosted their finances and managed a few quality signings. Notably, Tiago Tomás, a 23-year-old Portuguese forward from Wolfsburg, and Lorenz Assignon, a 25-year-old French defender from Rennes, joined to strengthen the right flank.

Last weekend, the “Swabians” faced Bayern Munich in the German Supercup. After conceding an early goal, they couldn’t seriously challenge the favorites. The match ended 1–2, but Stuttgart’s late goal showed they still have the spirit to fight.

Head-to-head statistics

Since 2022, the teams have met eight times. Stuttgart leads with 4 wins to 2. Last season, the “Swabians” won 3–2 at home, while the Berlin fixture ended in a 4–4 draw.

Prediction

In their Bundesliga meetings over the past two seasons, the average corner count was 7.75, with neither side ever combining for more than nine corners. A reasonable pick here is under 10 corners at odds of 1.63.