Toulouse vs PSG: Ligue 1 Prediction (30.08.2025)

On the night of Saturday, August 30, at 21:05 CEST, at the Municipal Stadium in Toulouse, the local club Toulouse will host the capital side Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in the third round of the French Ligue 1 2025-2026 season. Both teams remain unbeaten, with Toulouse defeating Nice 1-0 and Brest 2-0, while PSG won against Nantes and Angers with identical 1-0 scores.

Bookmakers see PSG as clear favorites. A bet on the Violets stands at Odds 7.15, a draw at Odds 5.10, and a win for the Red-and-Blues at Odds 1.43. Goals are expected: over 2.5 goals pays Odds 1.63, while both teams to score offers Odds 1.85.

Toulouse

Carles Martínez’s side is unlikely to fight for more than a mid-table finish this season. Still, victories over solid opponents like Nice and Brest mark a surprisingly strong start. Their defense has been key, while Cameroonian striker Frank Magri shone in the second round with a brace, raising expectations after a modest past.

PSG

Luis Enrique’s team dominates possession and territory but hasn’t been prolific in front of goal yet. “The Parisians” recorded 71% possession against Nantes and 83% against Angers, with xG of 1.43 and 1.85 respectively. Fans are waiting for the Red-and-Blues to unleash their full attacking power, as glimpsed in the UEFA Super Cup clash with Tottenham.

Head-to-head statistics

Since 2022, the sides have met seven times, with “The Parisians” leading 5:1 in wins. Last season, PSG won 3-0 at home and 1-0 away.

Prediction

It’s unlikely the reigning champions will drop points here, though they may not push for a goal fest. A cautious pick is PSG -1 handicap at Odds 1.65.