23.08.2025
Reading time: 2 min

Toulouse vs Brest: Ligue 1 Prediction (24.08.2025)

Toulouse vs Brest

On Sunday, August 24 at 17:15 CEST, at the Municipal Stadium of Toulouse, the home club will host Brest in the second round of the 2025–2026 French Ligue 1 season. In the opening match, the hosts defeated Nice 1–0 away, while the visitors drew an exciting 3–3 at home against Lille.

In the pre-match outlook for Toulouse vs Brest, bookmakers give the home side a slight edge. Odds for a Toulouse win are set at 2.08, a draw at 3.58, and a Brest win at 3.62. Experts do not expect a high-scoring game: over 2.5 goals is valued at 1.94, while “both teams to score” is priced at 1.77.

Toulouse

Last season, Carles Martínez’s side finished tenth, without serious ambitions for European competition spots. Over the summer, the squad went through some reshaping, most likely reducing its overall quality. The “violets” favor a defensive playing style, simply because they cannot dictate play against most Ligue 1 teams. In the first round against Nice, Toulouse ceded possession but remained solid in midfield. A late goal brought them victory, and now they will be eager to build on that success in front of their own fans.

Brest

Éric Roy’s men thrived largely on momentum last season. The team even played in the main stage of the UEFA Champions League and advanced to the playoffs. In the end, however, they only managed to finish ninth domestically. There were few summer changes, though a couple of defensive players were sold, perhaps contributing to the three goals conceded in the opening round.

Against Lille, Brest played at a decent tempo and looked solid overall. Their defense occasionally fell apart under the opponent’s quick attacks. Toulouse, however, are unlikely to pose the same level of sharp, combination-based threat as Lille.

Head-to-head statistics

Since 2023, the teams have met six times. Brest lead the rivalry with four wins to none. Last season, the “Pirates” won 2–0 at home and thrashed the “violets” 4–2 away.

Prediction

In this matchup, the recent head-to-head record deserves attention. The “Pirates” have clearly had the upper hand. Toulouse appear to be a favorable opponent for Brest, both home and away. Moreover, the visitors look more compact and cohesive as a unit. The bet: Brest not to lose at odds of 1.80.

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