Torino vs Modena: Coppa Italia Prediction (18.08.2025)

In the early hours of Monday, August 18 at 21:15 CEST, at the Stadio Olimpico in Turin, the home side Torino will host Modena in the 1/32 finals of the 2025–2026 Coppa Italia. In the previous edition, Torino was eliminated in the round of 32 after a 1-2 defeat to Empoli. Meanwhile, Modena almost produced a major upset, but after a goalless draw, they eventually lost on penalties to Napoli in the 1/32 finals.

In the Torino – Modena clash, bookmakers naturally favor the more established home side. Betting on a Granata win in regular time is offered at odds of 1.54, while their qualification to the next stage is priced at 1.25. For the yellow-and-blues, the odds in the same markets are 6.30 and 3.92. The total over 2.5 goals is valued at 1.96, suggesting that high scoring is not expected. A bet on both teams to score is available at 2.04.

Torino

Last season in Serie A, Il Toro finished only in 11th place after stumbling toward the end of the campaign. Head coach Paolo Vanoli was dismissed and replaced by Marco Baroni, who previously worked with Lazio, Verona, Lecce, and several other Italian clubs.

In the 2024–2025 season, Torino was characterized by low attacking productivity. They were among the teams that failed to score more than 40 goals over 38 matches. However, fans now have hopes for the attacking duo of Giovanni Simeone and Cyril Ngonge, both on loan from Napoli.

Modena

The Canarini also appointed a new coach. Andrea Sottil, who previously managed Udinese, Sampdoria, Salernitana, Ascoli, and other clubs, has taken charge. Under his leadership, Modena’s squad has undergone significant changes, with particular focus on strengthening the defense. However, due to the club’s limited finances, supporters should not expect any star players.

Last season in Serie B, Modena also finished in 11th place. During preseason, they played several friendlies against much weaker opponents. It remains difficult to predict how this largely revamped squad will perform under their new manager.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The teams have not met in an official competition since 2012. However, in 2023 they played a friendly, which Torino won 2-1.

Prediction

The visitors are likely to try to slow the game down, hoping to hold their ground against a higher-level opponent. Since a high-scoring encounter is not expected, our prediction is that Torino will not lose and the total goals will be under 3.5, at odds of 1.51.