Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich: German Super Cup Prediction (17.08.2025)

The start of the new Bundesliga season is near, as shown by the upcoming German Super Cup match, which will take place on August 17, 2025, at 01:30 WIB. At the MHP Arena, local side Stuttgart will face Bayern Munich. Despite the home advantage, bookmakers see the visitors as clear favorites. Bets on a Bayern win are offered at around 1.60, while a win for the hosts is priced at 5.25. Let’s review the teams’ current form and share our prediction for the match.

Stuttgart

Last season was unsuccessful for Stuttgart. The team failed to reach the UEFA Champions League playoffs and was highly inconsistent in domestic competitions. In the end, the Swabians finished only ninth in the league but managed to qualify for the UEFA Europa League thanks to their German Cup victory. This success also earned them a shot at the German Super Cup.

Yes, in terms of quality and last season’s results, Stuttgart is inferior to their upcoming opponent. However, football is unpredictable — a recent example being the English Super Cup match where Crystal Palace beat the more high-profile Liverpool. Moreover, at the start of the season, many teams play inconsistently as players are still finding their best rhythm.

Bayern Munich

For the reigning champions of Germany, last season seemed to never end. The offseason was extremely short because the club participated in the FIFA Club World Cup, with their last match played on July 5. By early August, the players were already back to intense training and friendlies. In those matches, Bayern looked solid — narrowly beating Lyon before crushing Tottenham 4–0.

There are minimal changes in the starting lineup. Tottenham completed the permanent signing of Mathys Tel, who had been on loan since February. João Palhinha went to Tottenham on loan, while veteran Thomas Müller, nearing the end of his career, decided to join Vancouver in MLS. The only major purchase was Luis Díaz, while free agents Bischof and Tah also joined. Overall, the team’s core remains intact.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings, Bayern lead with four wins to one. In all of these matches, the bet on over 2.5 goals would have won.

Prediction

For Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich, the prediction favors the visitors. Bayern have kept their squad core intact, so there should be no issues with team chemistry. In this case, a bet on Bayern to win at odds of 1.60 looks appealing.