St. Pauli vs Bochum: Bundesliga Prediction (17.05.2025)

On Saturday, May 17 at 20:30 WIB, at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg, St. Pauli will host Bochum in the final fixture of Matchday 34 of the 2024–2025 Bundesliga season. Even with a loss, the hosts are safe from the dangerous 16th spot, with a three-point lead over Heidenheim and a significantly better goal difference. As for the visitors, they are officially the worst team of the season and have already been relegated to the 2. Bundesliga.

Given the lack of motivation on both sides, bookmakers slightly favor the home team. A win for the Pirates is priced at 1.72, a draw at 4.15, and an away win for the Unbreakables at 4.65. The over 2.5 goals market sits at 1.68, suggesting moderate scoring. Odds for both teams to score are 1.67.

St. Pauli

Alexander Blessin’s team found form in early March. In their last nine matches, they’ve suffered only two defeats. Though many ended in draws, they secured enough points to steer clear of the relegation zone. Now, they look to thank their home fans with a solid final performance.

However, don’t expect a goal-fest. St. Pauli are the lowest-scoring team of the season. Still, their defense is solid—only champions Bayern Munich have conceded fewer goals.

Bochum

The Achilles heel of Dieter Hecking’s side has been their defense. With 67 goals conceded in 33 matches, only Holstein Kiel (also relegated) performed worse. Away from home, Bochum allow an average of 2.13 goals per match, while scoring just 0.94. In the previous round, they said goodbye to their fans with a 1–4 loss to Mainz, a fitting end to a poor season.

Head-to-Head Stats

After years apart in different divisions, these sides met again this season. In the first-round fixture in Bochum, the hosts won 1–0.

Prediction

In St. Pauli’s last 10 home games, never more than 3 total goals were scored—and that upper limit was reached just once. Their style prioritizes defensive structure. Therefore, the best bet is:

👉 Under 3 total goals at 1.78 odds.