Sporting vs Guimaraes: Portuguese League Prediction (18.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 18 at 12:00 AM WIB, at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon, Sporting CP will host Vitória de Guimarães in the final matchday (Matchday 34) of the 2024–25 Portuguese Primeira Liga. The hosts are still fighting for the league title, being level on points with Benfica, but holding a three-goal advantage on goal difference.

Guimarães, meanwhile, are battling to secure 5th place, which grants entry to the UEFA Europa Conference League. However, Santa Clara, with the same number of points but an easier final fixture, are pressing closely from behind.

Bookmakers favor the home side strongly:

• Sporting win – odds 1.27

• Draw – odds 5.65

• Guimarães win – odds 11.45

• Over 2.5 goals – odds 1.64

• Both teams to score – odds 2.08, suggesting goals are expected mostly from Sporting.

Sporting CP

Rúben Amorim’s squad is on a 16-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. In the previous round, a title-deciding clash against Benfica ended in a dramatic 1-1 draw during the Lisbon Derby.

The star of the spring has been Viktor Gyökeres. The Swedish striker was named Man of the Match in 9 out of the last 10 games, scoring three braces, a hat-trick, and even a four-goal performance. Fans expect another show from their Scandinavian hero in this final home match.

Vitória Guimarães

Under Luís Freire, the Conquerors had a solid run, but a 1-2 home loss to Farense in the last round now puts their European hopes at risk. It’s hard to imagine them getting a result away against a title-hungry Sporting.

Head-to-Head Stats

Since 2022, the sides have met 6 times:

• Sporting lead with 4 wins to 1

• The only draw, a 4-4 thriller, happened earlier this season. Sporting equalized in the 95th minute to escape defeat.

Prediction

Sporting need not only a win, but also a solid goal difference to claim the title.

🎯 Recommended bet: Sporting -2 corner handicap at odds of 1.50.