SPEZIA – CREMONESE: SERIE B PREDICTION (10.05.2025)

On May 10, 2025 at 00:30 WIB, at the Alberto Picco Stadium, Spezia will host Cremonese in the penultimate round (matchday 38) of the 2024-2025 Italian Serie B. Both teams are table neighbors fighting for the third-fourth positions, which grant direct entry to the promotion play-off semifinals. The hosts are guaranteed not to fall below fourth place, while the visitors are still motivated to secure a better spot.

Bookmakers rate the match as fairly even. Spezia’s win is priced at 2.58, a draw at 3.15, and Cremonese’s win at 2.85. Over 2.5 total goals is priced at 2.02, indicating low-scoring expectations typical for Serie B. Both teams to score is offered at 1.74.

SPEZIA
Luca D’Angelo’s side lost 1:2 away to Reggiana last round, ending a four-match unbeaten run in which they scored twice in each game. Still, “The Little Eagles” are strongest in defense. They have the best defensive record in Serie B this season. At home, Spezia concede only 0.76 goals per game – an outstanding stat.

CREMONESE
Giovanni Stroppa’s team are unbeaten in nine straight matches. Stroppa replaced Eugenio Corini last November and has been a revelation for the club. “The Tigers” have played more attacking football in the second half of the season, averaging 1.61 goals per game – third-best in the league. Away from home, they average 1.65 goals per match and rank third for points earned away.

STATISTICS AND HEAD-TO-HEAD
Since 2022, the teams have met five times: Cremonese won three, with two draws. Earlier this season, they drew 1:1 in Cremona. Only one of the five meetings had fewer than two goals.

PREDICTION
This match is crucial as it could determine the bronze medal spot. Spezia only need a draw, while Cremonese will come seeking all three points. We recommend betting Cremonese not to lose (double chance) at odds of 1.50.