Spain vs France: Nations League Prediction (06.06.2025)

On June 6, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, the Nations League playoff semifinal match between Spain and France will take place in Stuttgart. The chances of the opponents winning are considered roughly equal. Let’s review the current form of the teams and provide our prediction for the game.

Spain

Under the leadership of Luis de la Fuente, the Spanish national team demonstrates bright attacking football based on high pressing, total ball control, and a focus on creative play in the final third. This style brings results. However, in the quarterfinals, although Spain advanced past the Netherlands, they faced difficulties, drawing two high-scoring matches (2:2 and 3:3). The winner was decided only by a penalty shootout.

At the same time, the “Red Fury” still have obvious defensive problems. In their last four matches, the team conceded 8 goals, highlighting their vulnerability to quick counterattacks and instability in the defensive line. This could play a key role in the next stages of the tournament, especially against teams skilled at exploiting the flanks and set pieces.

France

Led by Didier Deschamps, the French national team traditionally relies on a balance between attack and defense, combining a pragmatic approach with the individual class of their stars. However, in recent matches, the “Tricolors” have not impressed with their consistency. In the quarterfinal, the team barely overcame Croatia: a 0:2 loss away and a 2:0 win at home led the tie into extra time, with the outcome decided by penalties. The main offensive force remains Kylian Mbappe. It is also quite likely that Désiré Doué will start, having performed well recently with PSG and contributing 3 goal involvements (2 goals + 1 assist) in the Champions League final.

Despite a relatively solid defensive record (4 goals conceded in 5 matches), France faces a serious challenge. Especially considering injuries to key defensive players: Upamecano, Saliba, and Camavinga are sidelined. This weakens the depth and flexibility of the defense. Against the powerful attack of the “Red Fury,” this could be a decisive factor.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2013, these teams have met five times, exchanging wins alternately. The overall score is 3:2 in favor of Spain.

Prediction

For the Spain vs. France match, we predict a high-scoring game. Both teams possess strong and versatile attacks. On one side shine Lamin Yamal, Ferran Torres, and Nico Williams; on the other, expectations rest on Kylian Mbappe, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé. The current squads of both teams allow them to play very aggressively in attack. Therefore, we suggest betting on the total goals over 2 with odds of 1.65.