Saudi Arabia vs Australia: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (11.06.2025)

On Tuesday, June 11 at 01:15 WIB at the King Abdullah Sports Complex Stadium, the Saudi Arabian national football team will host the Australian team in the final 10th round of Group C of the third stage of the Asian qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. This match will decide the fate of second place, and therefore, a direct ticket to the World Cup. Saudi Arabia is three points behind and has a goal difference of 0, while Australia has a goal difference of +8.

Let’s make a prediction for the Saudi Arabia – Australia match considering both teams’ maximum tournament motivation. Bookmakers give a slight edge to the home team. A win for the “Desert Eagles” is priced at 2.25, a draw at 3.22, and a win for the “Socceroos” at 3.35. Football analysts expect a low-scoring game: total over 2.5 goals is offered at odds of 2.46, and both teams to score at 2.09.

Saudi Arabia

Hervé Renard is well-known as a specialist in building disciplined teams from African and Asian national squads. Under his leadership, the “Desert Eagles” play cohesively and with good organization. In the previous nine matches of the third qualifying round, they have conceded just six goals — only Japan has a better record in the group. However, they’ve also scored just six goals! Once again, this proves that the coaching staff, led by the legendary Frenchman, has managed to build a reliable defense without star players, but creativity in attack requires high-class players — something the current Saudi team lacks.

Australia

Tony Popovic took charge of the “green continent” national team after they lost five points in their first two group matches, even though those matches weren’t against favorites but against Bahrain and Indonesia. In seven matches under his guidance, the “Socceroos” have recorded four wins and three draws — a fairly acceptable result. They are currently on a three-match winning streak, including a 1-0 home win against group leaders Japan — although Japan had no motivation left in that match.

Stats and Head-to-Head

In the previous World Cup qualifiers, Australia drew 0-0 with Saudi Arabia at home and then lost 0-1 away. In the first round of the current qualification, the match in Australia also ended in a goalless draw. Will the story repeat itself?

Prediction

Australia has not lost any away games so far, while Saudi Arabia has only won one home game. It seems that containing Saudi Arabia’s low-scoring attack might not be too difficult. We predict that Australia will not lose at odds of 1.64.