Roma vs Milan: Serie A Prediction (18.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 18 at 20:00 WIB, local football club Roma will host Milan at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome in the penultimate 37th round of the 2024–2025 Italian Serie A season. These are two sides from the upper half of the league table, meaning the clash is expected to be tense and unpredictable.

Roma

Claudio Ranieri consistently emphasizes that he joined the team during a difficult period. At that time, key players had lost confidence in themselves. Now, as the Serie A season nears its end, the team looks quite different. Overall, the Giallorossi rely heavily on their midfield cohesion. However, their attack continues to disappoint both fans and club executives.

Ukrainian player Artem Dovbyk has not become the star Roma hoped for, and the management is looking to sell him at the end of the season. Alexis Saelemaekers and Paulo Dybala missed significant time due to injuries. Eldor Shomurodov has not yet proven himself as a reliable starting player. It’s no surprise that Roma remains one of the least prolific attacking teams among the league’s top contenders.

Milan

When Sergio Conceição was appointed as head coach in December last year, much was expected from the Portuguese manager. The team did move up into the top half of the table, but not much more than that. Missing out on European competitions next season is simply not an option for a club of Milan’s stature.

Although Milan has reached the final stretch of the season without a long injury list, it’s hard to predict what lineup the coach will choose for this match. The game against Roma comes right after the Coppa Italia final against Bologna—a match in which the Rossoneri are sure to give their all. Clearly, the priority will be to win the trophy, so in this away game against Roma, some key players may either be rested or play limited minutes.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2022, the two teams have played nine matches against each other. Milan holds a slight edge with four wins to Roma’s three. In the first round of this season’s Serie A, the match ended in a 1–1 draw. In early February of this calendar year, the teams met in the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia, where the Rossoneri won 3–1.

Prediction

The prediction for the Roma vs Milan match takes into account that the hosts will likely have slightly more motivation, while the visitors may be fatigued following the Coppa Italia final. Given this situation, we expect that Roma will avoid defeat and the total number of goals will be under 3.5.