Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: La Liga prediction (24.05.2025)

On Saturday, May 24 at 21:15 WIB, at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, the local football club Real Madrid will host Real Sociedad from San Sebastián in the final match of the 38th round of the 2024–2025 Spanish La Liga season. The hosts will remain in second place regardless of the result, while the visitors will finish somewhere between 10th and 12th. The match carries no significance in terms of league standings.

In this inconsequential match, bookmakers’ predictions favor the home side. A bet on a Real Madrid win is offered at odds of 1.45, a draw at 5.05, and a Real Sociedad win at 6.85. The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.51, indicating that analysts expect a fair number of goals. The odds for both teams to score stand at 1.66.

Real Madrid

The club is saying farewell to Carlo Ancelotti, and fans are now more interested in who the management will bring in to strengthen Xabi Alonso’s squad ahead of the Club World Cup. Some significant player losses are already evident. Reports suggest that Jude Bellingham may require shoulder surgery, which could cause the young Brit to miss the start of the next La Liga season.

Real Madrid’s only motivation for this upcoming match is playing in front of their home fans. Even if the result doesn’t affect their standing, they certainly won’t want to deliver a poor performance at the Bernabéu.

Real Sociedad

Imanol Alguacil’s squad has already said goodbye to their fans this season. In the previous round, they beat Girona 3–2 at home. Considering they were on a six-game winless streak before that, it was a successful final home showing. However, their position in the lower half of the table likely doesn’t match the ambitions of the San Sebastián club. Unsurprisingly, the head coach will be stepping down at the end of the season.

Head-to-head stats

Since 2022, the teams have met eight times, with Real Madrid winning five of those encounters and Real Sociedad two. Notably, in early April of this year, Real Sociedad won 4–3 in the second leg of the Copa del Rey semifinal but conceded the decisive goal in extra time.

Prediction

The only real purpose of a win for the home team is to allow Carlo Ancelotti to bid a proper and uplifting farewell to the Madrid crowd. Most likely, the Italian coach will ask his players not to ruin this moment for him. Our bet is on Real Madrid -1 handicap at odds of 1.69.