Real Madrid vs Mallorca: La Liga Prediction (16.05.2025)

On Friday, 16 May 2025, at 2:30 WIB, Real Madrid will host Mallorca at the Santiago Bernabéu in a La Liga 2024/25 fixture. Bookmakers clearly favor the home side, who are expected to dominate despite their recent struggles.

Real Madrid

In their last outing, Real Madrid faced Barcelona in the final El Clásico of the season. Despite a strong start and leading 2–0 by the 14th minute, Carlo Ancelotti’s men suffered a dramatic collapse, eventually losing 3–4. With just three matches remaining, Los Blancos are now 7 points behind Barcelona, effectively ending their title hopes.

The team’s current form is concerning. There’s a lack of cohesion, and their defensive line has been fragile all season. For this game, things get worse — Aurélien Tchouaméni, who had been filling in defensively due to injury issues, is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

Mallorca

Mallorca is entering a decisive phase of the season. The team still has hopes of qualifying for European competitions, currently tied with Rayo Vallecano on points and only two points behind the Europa League spot. However, Jago Arrasate’s side struggles against stronger opponents and has been poor away from home.

Mallorca has only won 6 of their 17 away games, scoring just 14 goals while conceding 21. To make matters worse, three key midfielders — Manu Morlanes, Robert Navarro, and Dani Rodríguez — are out with injuries, weakening the team significantly in the middle of the park.

Head-to-Head Stats

In their last five head-to-head encounters, Real Madrid has won three times, Mallorca once, with one match ending in a draw (in the first half of the current season).

In the most recent meeting — in the Spanish Super Cup — Real Madrid dominated and won 3–0, with the stats backing up their superiority:

• Ball possession: 65% vs 35%

• Shots: 28 vs 8

• Shots on target: 11 vs 0

• Expected Goals (xG): 3.04 vs 0.26

Prediction

Given the current form and lineup issues, Real Madrid’s defense remains shaky, but their attacking firepower is still elite. With their title hopes all but over, expect them to go all-out offensively to please the home fans.

Recommended Bet: Real Madrid Over 2 Team Goals @ 1.73