Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Club World Cup Prediction (06.07.2025)

On July 6, 2025, at 03:00 WIB, a Club World Cup quarterfinal match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund will take place at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA. This match will feature a sibling showdown — Jobe vs Jude Bellingham. Bookmakers have named Real Madrid as the favorites. Let’s take a look at both teams’ current form and provide our prediction for the match.

Real Madrid

Los Blancos arrive at the tournament under the guidance of a new head coach and with a somewhat revamped squad, especially in the defensive line. Xabi Alonso employs a tactical system very different from his predecessor, Carlo Ancelotti, as he works to integrate key players into a new structure. For Madrid, this tournament is an ideal opportunity to build cohesion under competitive conditions.

Real Madrid won their group relatively comfortably. In the first playoff round, they faced Juventus. In that match, Madrid tested a 3-5-2 formation that transitioned into 5-3-2 while defending — a classic Alonso tactic. In the second half, Madrid noticeably improved and earned a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over the Italian side.

Borussia Dortmund

The Black and Yellows are in good form. Across all competitions, Niko Kovač’s squad is currently on an 11-match unbeaten streak. Notably, Jobe Bellingham has recently joined the team, following in the footsteps of his brother Jude — and this match will mark a head-to-head clash between them.

However, it’s worth analyzing the level of competition Dortmund has faced so far in the Club World Cup. Their toughest group stage opponent was Fluminense, with whom they drew 1-1. They then secured narrow wins against Mamelodi Sundowns (4-3) and Ulsan (1-0). In the previous round, Dortmund also narrowly beat Sergio Ramos’ Monterrey 2-1 — a game in which the Mexican side offered real resistance.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

This will be the third meeting between the two teams in just over a year. Last June, they met in the UEFA Champions League final, where Real Madrid won comfortably 2-0. Their most recent clash came in the Champions League group stage in October 2024. Dortmund led 2-0 at halftime, but Madrid stormed back with five unanswered goals in the second half.

Prediction

For the Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match, our prediction favors Los Blancos. The Spanish giants are clearly superior in terms of squad quality. Xabi Alonso has likely studied Dortmund’s game thoroughly and knows how to prepare for them. Additionally, Dortmund still shows signs of weakness in defense. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Real Madrid win at odds of 1.65.