Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca: La Liga Prediction (25.05.2025)

In the early hours of Sunday, May 25 at 2:00 WIB, at the Campo de Vallecas Stadium in Madrid, the local team Rayo Vallecano will host Mallorca in the final fixture of the 38th round of the 2024–2025 Spanish La Liga season. The hosts currently sit in eighth place but still have a chance to climb to seventh, which would qualify them for the UEFA Europa League next season. The visitors are in tenth place and can neither rise above nor fall below 12th in the standings.

We’ll provide our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca match considering the higher competitive motivation of the hosts, who are also regarded by bookmakers as clear favorites. Betting odds: Rayo to win – 1.56, draw – 4.15, Mallorca to win – 6.50. The total over 2.5 is priced at 2.20, suggesting analysts don’t expect a high-scoring game. Both teams to score is offered at 2.30.

Rayo Vallecano

Iñigo Pérez’s team has won three of their last four La Liga matches. They drew 2-2 only with Real Betis, who have already secured a Europa League spot. In terms of attacking efficiency, Rayo may not deserve to overtake Celta Vigo, who are currently seventh. Rayo averages just 1.11 goals per game. However, their defense is reliable, conceding only 1.22 per match. Defensive players like Florian Lejeune, Andrei Rațiu, and Pep Chavarría have been the real leaders of the squad.

Mallorca

The end of the season hasn’t gone well for Jagoba Arrasate’s men, losing four of their last five matches. Much of that was due to a tough fixture list. Still, it’s been a decent season for the Vermilions, whose expectations didn’t include European qualification. Their offensive numbers are even weaker than Rayo’s—away from home, Mallorca scores just 0.83 goals per game.

Rekor Pertemuan

Since 2022, the teams have faced each other seven times, with Mallorca leading significantly with 5 wins to Rayo’s 1. In the first round of this season, the islanders edged out a 1-0 win at home.

Prediction

Mallorca hasn’t shown much fighting spirit in the past month and a half, while Rayo still has motivation to secure three crucial points. Thus, we predict a Rayo Vallecano win, combined with under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.00.