PSV vs Heracles: Eredivisie Prediction (15.05.2025)

On May 15, 2025, at 1:00 WIB, PSV Eindhoven will face Heracles Almelo in an Eredivisie fixture. Bookmakers label the hosts as clear favorites, with odds on a PSV win falling below 1.10. However, the motivation for both teams makes this clash more complex than it appears.

PSV – Strong Form and Dramatic Comebacks

In the previous round, PSV delivered a sensational comeback against Feyenoord. Trailing 0–2 at halftime, Peter Bosz’s squad equalized by the 73rd minute. A red card for Feyenoord in the 90th minute set the stage for PSV’s winning goal in the 90+9th minute.

The club is dominant at home. Apart from a recent loss to Ajax, PSV has remained solid in Eindhoven. Over 16 home matches, they’ve scored 51 goals and conceded just 14, averaging over 3 goals per game.

Heracles – Unsteady Form but Still in the Race

Heracles currently sits 12th, but the tight table gives them a chance to break into the top 9 and chase a spot in the UEFA Conference League. They’re just one point behind Fortuna Sittard in 9th.

However, Heracles has been inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Defense remains a weak point, and their away record is worse — only 3 wins in 16 away games, with a goal difference of 12:32.

Head-to-Head and Prediction

In their last five head-to-head meetings, PSV dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw. The first leg this season ended 3-1 in favor of PSV. However, in only 1 of their last 10 matchups did the margin exceed 3 goals.

Prediction

Despite being favorites, a massive blowout seems unlikely. Heracles remains motivated, and historically, PSV hasn’t always cruised past them. A valuable bet could be Heracles +3 handicap at odds of 1.62.