PSG vs Real Madrid: Club World Cup Prediction (10.07.2025)

On July 10, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, the Club World Cup semifinal between PSG and Real Madrid will take place at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA. This is a top-tier clash, with the winner likely becoming the main contender for the trophy. Bookmakers see the teams as fairly evenly matched, with Real Madrid even entering the game as slight underdogs. Let’s review both teams’ current form and provide a match prediction.

PSG

After a dominant Champions League victory and a strong second half of the season, PSG entered the Club World Cup as one of the main favorites. So far, Luis Enrique’s squad has lived up to that status. Despite a 0–1 loss to Botafogo in the group stage, PSG had no real trouble advancing to the knockout rounds. In the Round of 16, they crushed Inter Miami 4–0, scoring all goals in the first half and clearly demonstrating their superiority.

In their latest match, PSG faced Bayern Munich and once again looked the better side, winning 2–0. Impressively, they scored their second goal while down to nine men. Most teams would have sat back defensively in such a situation, but PSG pushed forward and converted a 3-on-3 counterattack. However, Hernandez and Pacho will miss the next match due to red cards.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid remains unbeaten in the Club World Cup. They comfortably topped their group and faced only European clubs in the knockout stages. As the tournament has progressed, Xabi Alonso’s tactical influence has become more apparent. The team is now more compact and assertive in pressing.

Rodrygo has yet to fully integrate into this system, and Mbappé has so far only come off the bench. It’s possible the Frenchman is not in top form, or perhaps Alonso made a bold move that Ancelotti never dared – benching Kylian in favor of in-form academy graduate Gonzalo Garcia. The young striker, who started the tournament with Real’s second team, has contributed in all five matches so far. Notably, central defender Dean Huijsen will miss the semifinal, but Dani Carvajal is back in the squad.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Since 2018, the two teams have met five times. The record is even: two wins each and one draw. In four out of five matches, the total goals exceeded 2.5.

Prediction

For PSG vs Real Madrid, the prediction leans in favor of “Los Blancos.” Xabi Alonso’s team is showing steady improvement. While both sides are highly motivated, Real Madrid’s experience and ability to win big matches give them the edge. A bet on Real Madrid to reach the final at odds of 2.09 looks like a solid option.