PSG vs Bayern: Club World Cup Prediction (05.07.2025)

On July 5, 2025, at 23:00 WIB, a high-profile Club World Cup quarterfinal clash between PSG and Bayern will take place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. Some experts are calling this match a “hidden final.”

Whichever team wins this encounter is expected to become the main contender for the tournament title. Bookmakers are giving a slight edge to PSG, with odds of 1.71 to reach the semifinals versus 2.20 for Bayern. Let’s look at both teams’ current form and offer a prediction for the match.

PSG

PSG is aiming to win everything this season. After securing their first-ever UEFA Champions League title, the Parisians are now looking to add the FIFA Club World Cup and the UEFA Super Cup to their trophy haul. Luis Enrique’s side has shown great form, with the only blemish being a surprising 0-1 loss to Botafogo in the group stage — a result likely caused by underestimating the opponent after a dominant 4-0 win over Atlético.

In the playoffs, PSG immediately shifted gears, scoring four unanswered goals in the first half against Inter Miami. The squad’s depth is a major asset, especially in attack, where Enrique can rotate players without sacrificing quality. PSG is performing confidently in both offense and defense, having conceded only one goal in the entire tournament — in the match against Botafogo.

Bayern

Bayern has also been strong in attack — unsurprising under Vincent Kompany, a coach fully committed to offensive football and equipped with a very talented squad. However, defensively, Bayern hasn’t been as solid as PSG. They have kept only one clean sheet in four matches, which came in their 10-0 win over Auckland City.

The Munich side advanced to the playoffs as the second-place team in their group, beating Boca Juniors (2-1) but losing to Benfica (0-1). In the first knockout round, they defeated Flamengo 4-2, although the match was far from one-sided. Flamengo often played more aggressively, and the two goals Bayern conceded are a warning sign ahead of facing PSG’s ultra-attacking style.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Since 2020, the teams have faced each other six times. The stats overwhelmingly favor Bayern, who have won five out of those six encounters. Their most recent meeting came in the 2024 Champions League, with Bayern winning 1-0.

Prediction

For the PSG vs Bayern match, our prediction is a high-scoring game. Both teams are exceptional in attack. Unlike their previous meetings, PSG has noticeably improved in sharpness and quality. Given Bayern’s attacking playing style, we expect a fast-paced match with counter-attacks and plenty of chances. In this scenario, betting on over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.60 looks like a promising option.