PSG vs Atletico Madrid: Club World Cup Prediction (16.06.2025)

On June 16, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, PSG and Atletico will face off in the first round of the Club World Cup at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California, USA. With all due respect to the tournament hosts, this is the first top-tier clash since the opening match, making it a highly anticipated fixture. Bookmakers consider PSG the favorites. Let’s analyze the current form of both teams and provide a match prediction.

PSG

Luis Enrique’s side was the best team in Europe during the 2024/25 season. PSG secured a treble, winning the French league by a large margin, capturing the domestic cup with ease, and lifting the UEFA Champions League trophy after a dominant 5–0 win over Inter in the final. It was in the second half of the season that PSG truly clicked, showing cohesion and mutual understanding on the field.

Their performance in the UCL final indicates that the players are still in peak physical condition, and after a two-week break, fitness shouldn’t be an issue. However, the participation of Barcola and Dembélé remains uncertain due to injuries. While Barcola can likely be replaced by Warren Zaïre-Emery, the absence of Dembélé could significantly weaken PSG’s attacking power.

Atletico

Los Colchoneros had a less consistent season. Early on, Diego Simeone attempted to transition to a more attacking style of play but eventually reverted to his familiar defensive approach. Still, Atletico couldn’t finish higher than third in La Liga. In the Copa del Rey, they were knocked out in the semifinals by Barcelona, and in the Champions League, they were eliminated by Real Madrid.

That said, Atletico have shown they perform well against attacking teams, as demonstrated in several encounters with Barcelona. PSG also favor an attacking style, which suits Atletico’s counterattacking tactics. These scenarios often lead to high-scoring matches.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Since 2009, the teams have faced each other three times. The record is even, with one win apiece and one draw. Their most recent meeting came in the 2024/25 Champions League season, where Atletico won 2–1 away at PSG.

Prediction

Our PSG vs Atletico prediction leans toward a high-scoring affair. PSG possess a very strong and creative attacking line. Players like Kvaratskhelia and Zaïre-Emery are capable of breaking through even a well-organized Atletico defense. In response, Atletico will likely rely on counterattacks, but they can also hold their own in positional play. We expect an exciting clash with goals from both sides. Recommended bet: over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.72.