Prediction of Japan’s Victory vs Indonesia: Samurai Blue Remain International Media Favorites

The Japan vs Indonesia match on June 10, 2025, at Suita City Stadium, Osaka, is the final fixture of Group C in the 2026 World Cup Asian Qualifiers. Although both teams have secured their respective positions—Japan as group winners and Indonesia clinching a ticket to the fourth round—predictions still favor the home side, Japan.

Statistically, Japan is highly dominant over Indonesia. In the last two meetings, the Samurai Blue have always won convincingly: 4-0 in Jakarta in November 2024 and 3-1 at the 2023 Asian Cup. Out of 17 encounters since 1954, Japan has won 10 times, Indonesia 5 times, with two draws.

Japan recently lost to Australia, but they remain the favorites with a win coefficient of 1/5 according to Oddschecker, while Indonesia’s chance of winning is rated at just 11/1. The most common score prediction is a 2-0 victory for Japan. Although Japan is expected to field several second-string players, their overall strength remains far above Indonesia. The Garuda squad is on a positive streak after two consecutive wins, but their away record in Japan has always ended without scoring a goal and with heavy defeats.

Several international and national media agree that Indonesia still has a chance to steal points, especially since Japan will not field their best squad. However, objectively, Japan remains the clear favorite to win at home.