Portugal vs Poland: Euro U-21 Prediction (15.06.2025)

On June 15, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, a match between the U-21 national teams of Portugal and Poland will take place at the “Stadion na Sihoti” in Trencin, Slovakia, as part of Euro U-21. This is the second round of Group C, which also includes France and Georgia. Bookmakers consider Portugal the favorites. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and provide a prediction for the match.

Portugal

The “Seleção” confidently passed the Euro qualifying stage, finishing first in Group G. Portugal won nine out of ten matches. Their scoring power was particularly impressive—averaging more than 3 goals per game. In preparation for the main tournament, Portugal played a series of friendly matches. In November 2024, they drew with Ukraine (3–3) and defeated Slovakia (2–1). However, results in March 2025 were less encouraging—losses to Romania (0–1) and England (2–4), raising questions about the team’s condition before the tournament.

Portugal’s first Euro match was against a strong opponent—the French U-21 team. Despite 29 shots on goal from both sides, neither team managed to score—the match ended 0–0. As a result, much in this group will depend on the outcomes of the second round.

Poland

Poland performed reasonably well in qualifying. They finished second in their group, only behind Germany. However, in friendly matches leading up to the Euro, their gameplay became inconsistent, mainly due to poor defensive performances. The team conceded 7 goals in 3 games. While these were test matches allowing for rotations and tactical experiments, it was still a worrying sign.

These concerns turned out to be justified. In the opening match, Poland faced Georgia and were slight favorites. However, Adam Majewski’s side lost 1–2 despite being more threatening in attack. A second straight loss could eliminate Poland from knockout stage contention.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

From 2006 to 2008, the two teams met six times. Portugal holds the edge in victories at 3–1, although Poland won the most recent meeting 3–1. Two matches ended in draws. There is no more recent head-to-head data available. Their last meeting was 7 years ago, which is a long time at the U-21 level, as squad turnover is very rapid.

Prediction

In the Portugal vs Poland match, our prediction leans toward the Portuguese. Jorge Rui’s side looks much stronger and more balanced. Additionally, Portugal has a deeper squad. Poland, meanwhile, struggles with defensive issues. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Portugal win.