Poland vs Moldova: Friendly Match Prediction (07.06.2025)

On Friday, June 7 at 01:45 WIB, the Poland national football team will host Moldova in a friendly match at the Silesian Stadium in Chorzów. Just a few days after this match, both teams will face important games in the qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup.

In the Poland – Moldova matchup, bookmakers’ predictions are clear: the hosts are the firm favorites. A bet on a “White and Reds” victory offers a low odds of 1.30, a draw at 5.55, and a win for the “Tricolors” (Moldova) at 9.55. Many goals are expected in this match, so the total over 2.5 goals is priced at a moderate 1.63. Bets on both teams to score are accepted at 2.04, meaning goals are mostly expected from the home side.

Poland

Michał Probierz was appointed head coach of the national team in September 2023 following Poland’s 2–3 away loss to Moldova when Fernando Santos was still in charge. It cannot be said that the new coach has made positive progress in building the team. At Euro 2024, the “White and Reds” performed poorly. They then suffered a crushing failure in their UEFA Nations League group, finishing fourth behind Scotland.

Currently, the team’s collective play is noticeably weak. Robert Lewandowski still knows how to score, as demonstrated in the match against Lithuania in March. But the 36-year-old veteran is no longer able to carry the team against stronger opponents alone. Therefore, his absence in the national team’s June matches may not be so noticeable.

Moldova

On the other hand, Sergey Kleshchenko can boast some achievements from last autumn. Moldova won their group, which also included Malta and Andorra, and were promoted to League C of the UEFA Nations League. For a modest team, this is quite a notable success. However, the start of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers has been very poor: the “Tricolors” lost 0–5 to Norway and 2–3 to Estonia, with both defeats occurring in front of their home fans.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

In 2023, the teams were in the same group for Euro 2024 qualifying. Interestingly, Moldova won their home match 3–2, despite Poland fielding a strong squad led by captain Robert Lewandowski. In the return home match, the “White and Reds” also failed to win, managing only a 1–1 draw.

Prediction

Recent head-to-head encounters show that Moldova is not an easy opponent for Poland. The aging and not very fast forwards of the favorite will find it hard to break through the tight defense of the defensive underdog. But in this home match, Poland will not disappoint their fans. The recommendation is to bet on Poland not to lose and on total goals over 2.5 with odds of 1.70.