Panama vs Honduras: CONCACAF Gold Cup Prediction (29.06.2025)

On Sunday, June 29 at 06:15 WIB, Panama and Honduras will meet at State Farm Stadium in Glendale for the quarterfinals of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup. Panama advanced to this stage by finishing first in Group C, ahead of Guatemala, Jamaica, and Guadeloupe. Honduras secured second place in Group B, finishing behind Canada but ahead of Curaçao and El Salvador.

We’ll make a prediction for the Panama vs Honduras match based on the teams’ current form. Bookmakers consider Panama the clear favorite. A bet on the “Red Tide” to win in regular time is priced at 1.49, while their odds to advance to the semifinals are 1.24. The same markets for “Los Catrachos” are set at 6.20 and 3.92 respectively. Over 2.5 total goals is offered at 1.73, suggesting a moderately high-scoring match. The odds for both teams to score are 1.85.

Panama

Thomas Christiansen’s side confidently progressed through the group stage, earning three wins with a goal difference of 10:3. This was not unexpected, as Panama were finalists in the most recent edition of the CONCACAF Nations League.

One of the standout players has been Universidad Católica forward Ismael Díaz, who scored a brace against Guadeloupe and a hat-trick against Jamaica. In the last match, he received the highest rating among all players on the pitch.

Honduras

Reinaldo Rueda’s team had to fight until the very end of the final group match to secure a quarterfinal spot against Curaçao. The winning goal came during added time in a 2-1 victory. A draw would have been enough, but the fact that Honduras struggled against a team with nothing left to play for speaks volumes.

Honduras has struggled significantly in attack. In their three group-stage games, they only managed ten shots on target.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In 2021–2022, the two teams met three times. Each side won one match, and the third ended in a 1-1 draw. However, those results are no longer relevant, as both teams now feature very different squads.

Prediction

Panama is stronger in terms of squad quality and current form, but Honduras is occasionally capable of grinding out low-scoring matches. We suggest a combined bet: Panama not to lose and under 3.5 total goals at odds of 1.67.