Palmeiras vs Chelsea: Club World Cup Prediction (05.07.2025)

On the morning of July 5, 2025, at 08:00 WIB, a Club World Cup quarterfinal match between Palmeiras and Chelsea will take place at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. Bookmakers see Chelsea as the favorite in this matchup, though the advantage is not overwhelming. The odds to advance to the next round are 1.54 for Chelsea and 2.55 for Palmeiras. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and give our prediction for the match.

Palmeiras

Palmeiras remains unbeaten in the tournament so far. However, it’s hard to say they’ve faced any truly serious challenges. The team hasn’t yet gone through a real test. In the group stage, they drew with Porto (0-0) and Inter Miami (2-2), and only managed a win against Al-Ahli (2-0). In the first playoff round, Palmeiras faced fellow Brazilians Botafogo and scored the only goal of the match in extra time.

Overall, Palmeiras looks solid both in terms of team chemistry and individual skill. But in this upcoming match, they will face their toughest opponent so far. It’s also unclear whether Murilo Cerqueira has recovered from injury. Two important defenders, Gustavo Gómez and Joaquín Piquerez, are confirmed to miss the game due to suspension.

Chelsea

Chelsea arrived at the tournament as one of the favorites to win the title, thanks to their incredible squad depth, which allowed players to come in fresher compared to other top European teams. However, it must be said that Enzo Maresca currently only has his main starting lineup performing at a top level. Moreover, Chelsea’s performance heavily depends on the form and mood of a few key players, including Cole Palmer.

Chelsea didn’t have an easy path to the quarterfinals. In the group stage, they lost to another Brazilian team, Flamengo (1-3). In the round of 16, they only managed to beat Benfica in extra time (4-1). Moisés Caicedo is confirmed to miss the upcoming match due to yellow card accumulation. However, it’s almost certain that Enzo Fernández will take his place.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

Interestingly, these teams have met before in the Club World Cup, although under the tournament’s old format. Back then, Palmeiras came close to winning the trophy. The 2022 final ended 1-1 in regular time, with the winning goal for Chelsea scored in the 117th minute of extra time.

Prediction

For the Palmeiras vs Chelsea match, our prediction focuses on corner kicks. It’s worth noting that Chelsea frequently uses the wings in their attacks. In addition to the wingers, fullbacks like Marc Cucurella often join the offense. This style of play often results in a high number of corners. Therefore, we recommend betting on Chelsea with a 0 handicap on corner kicks at odds of 1.62.