Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid: La Liga Prediction (16.05.2025)

On Friday, 16 May 2025 at 12:00 AM WIB, Osasuna will face Atletico Madrid in a La Liga 2024/25 fixture. Bookmakers slightly favor the visitors, but both teams enter with different levels of motivation. Let’s examine the current form and offer our prediction.

Osasuna

Los Rojillos enter this fixture with high motivation. Although sitting 11th in the standings, Osasuna is still in contention for a place in European competitions. They are just two points behind 8th place, which could secure a UEFA Conference League spot.

However, Vicente Moreno’s side has struggled against top-half opponents. In recent matches, they suffered a 2–4 loss to Villarreal and drew 1–1 with Real Betis. Despite the setbacks, Osasuna has found consistency in attack, scoring in six consecutive league games.

Much of that success is thanks to Ante Budimir, the Croatian striker who has 19 goals and 4 assists this season. He has scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and currently ranks among the top 3 scorers in La Liga.

Atletico Madrid

For Atletico Madrid, the league’s primary objective has already been achieved: qualification for next season’s UEFA Champions League. However, the team still has something to play for — a win here would secure 3rd place and the bronze medal finish with two rounds to go.

That said, Diego Simeone’s team has recently shown vulnerability, especially away from home. In their last five away games, Atletico managed only one win — against Sevilla.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings, Atletico Madrid leads with 4 wins to Osasuna’s 1. Their first encounter this season ended in a 1–0 home win for Atletico. It’s also worth noting that Osasuna has only scored once in their last 7 matches against Simeone’s side.

Prediction

Atletico Madrid has historically been a tough opponent for Osasuna, especially given the latter’s issues in breaking down disciplined defenses. Expect Osasuna to rely on counter-attacks, but Atletico is likely to control the game and limit clear chances.

Recommended Bet: Osasuna Under 1 Team Goal — Odds @ 1.70