Ordabasy vs Torpedo Kutaisi: Europa Conference League Prediction (17.07.2025)

On Thursday, July 17 at 23:00 WIB, FC Ordabasy will host Torpedo Kutaisi at the Kazhymukan Munaitpasov Central Stadium in Shymkent for the second leg of the first qualifying round of the 2025–2026 UEFA Conference League. The first leg in Kutaisi ended in a 4-3 win for the Georgian side. The Kazakh club took the lead twice during the game but couldn’t even secure a draw, conceding a goal in the 94th minute.

Despite the result of the first meeting, bookmakers favor Ordabasy in this matchup. A win for the “Blue and Whites” is priced at 1.73, a draw at 3.85, and a victory for the “Black and Whites” at 4.30. However, the odds to qualify are slightly different: 2.10 for the Kazakh side to progress and 1.68 for the Georgians. The over 2.5 total goals bet stands at 1.75, indicating that a goal-fest like in the first leg is not expected. The odds for both teams to score are 1.71.

Ordabasy

In last week’s match, Andrey Martin’s team appeared somewhat disorganized. Their foreign forwards, João Paulinho and Everton, struggled to find their rhythm. However, Everton did score the winning goal against Astana on Sunday, so he is likely to keep his place in the starting lineup.

The home win over the capital club was a pleasant surprise for Ordabasy fans, who now believe in a positive result against Torpedo. The key will be to deliver a more reliable defensive performance than they did in the away leg.

Torpedo Kutaisi

Dirk Schuster’s team is not in the best form at the moment. After 18 rounds in the Georgian league, the “Black and Whites” are only in fifth place and are unlikely to replicate last season’s silver medal finish, which earned them a spot in Conference League qualifying.

One standout from the first leg was Norwegian striker Bjørn Johnsen. The experienced forward continues to score regularly for Torpedo, so Ordabasy will need to mark him closely.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

In addition to last week’s clash, the two clubs also met in 2019. Back then, in the Europa League qualifiers, the Kazakh side won both matches without conceding a single goal.

Prediction

The home victory over Astana should boost Ordabasy’s confidence. The team from Kutaisi is beatable if the Kazakhs can correct their previous mistakes. Our prediction is a win for Ordabasy in regular time at odds of 1.73.