Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois: Boxing Prediction (19.07.2025)

Late on July 19, after 11:00 PM Astana time, a fight for the undisputed heavyweight championship will take place at Wembley Stadium in London between Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk and British fighter Daniel Dubois. Usyk will put his WBC, WBA-Super, WBO, IBO, and The Ring titles on the line, while Dubois brings the IBF belt to the match.

In the Usyk vs Dubois bout, bookmakers see the Ukrainian as the clear favorite. The odds for a Usyk win are 1.29, while a Dubois victory is priced at 3.30. Here are some other betting insights for the upcoming fight:

• The average expected total rounds: ten
• Most likely outcome: Usyk wins by technical knockout – 2.75
• Method of victory for either fighter: technical knockout – 2.25, unanimous decision – 3.10, knockout – 4.30
• Odds for the fight to end in rounds 7–9: 4.30, rounds 4–6: 5.50, rounds 10–12: 5.50, rounds 1–3: 11.00

As we can see, experts are expecting an early finish to the bout.

Oleksandr Usyk

The Ukrainian fighter is unique in that he has been an undisputed champion in both the cruiserweight and heavyweight divisions. As an amateur, he was a European, World, and Olympic champion. As a professional, he has fought 23 times and won every bout, with 14 victories by stoppage.

One of Usyk’s perceived weaknesses is his physique, which is more naturally suited to cruiserweight. To compete at heavyweight, he had to add significant muscle mass. However, as his two fights against Tyson Fury showed, this has not hindered his ability to move effectively over 12 rounds. Still, it’s worth noting that Usyk is now 38 years old, which may affect his stamina and durability.

Daniel Dubois

Dubois, on the other hand, is at the prime age for championship success — the British boxer is 27. This 11-year age gap could play a crucial role in the upcoming fight. Unlike Fury or Joshua, Dubois relies on knockout power, earning him the nickname “Dynamite.” A single clean punch could cost Usyk all of his belts.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The fighters previously met in August 2023 in Wrocław. In the ninth round, Dubois took a knee for the second time, prompting the referee to stop the fight. That match was marked by controversy over a low blow delivered by the Briton in round five. Dubois’s camp continues to insist the punch was legal and claim the victory was unjustly taken from him.

Prediction

Usyk is known for adapting his strategy to each opponent, often catching them off guard. However, this bout will likely be dominated by the physical aggression of the British challenger. At 38, Usyk’s endurance is a valid concern. Therefore, the prediction is a Dubois victory on home soil at odds of 3.30.