Nice vs Toulouse: Ligue 1 Prediction (17.08.2025)

On 17 August 2025 at 02:05 WIB at the Allianz Riviera, Nice will face Toulouse in the opening round of the French Ligue 1. Bookmakers see the hosts as slight favourites. Let’s look at the teams’ current form at the start of the season and give our prediction.

Nice

The Eaglets had a strong season last year, but a single slip-up in the penultimate round against Rennes cost them a top-3 spot. As a result, Nice finished fourth and missed out on a direct place in the Champions League group stage, having to start from the third qualifying round. There, they drew one of the toughest possible opponents — Benfica. The French side lost the first leg at home 0–2, and ahead of the league opener, they suffered another defeat by the same score 0–2 in the away leg in Portugal.

Toulouse

The Violets have settled into a mid-table role in French football. Last season, they finished 10th, lacking consistency. Toulouse alternated strong runs with stretches of several poor results, and there was no clear pattern linked to the strength of the opposition. They could collect points against any team when in form but also lose to outsiders during dips. The summer transfer window brought no major changes, but their preseason was underwhelming — failing to win any of their six matches.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, the record is even — each side has won once, with the other three ending in draws. Notably, only one of those five games saw more than two goals scored.

Prediction

For the Nice vs Toulouse match, the forecast favours the hosts. Considering the head-to-head history, the game is unlikely to be high-scoring. Since 2019, none of the last nine meetings between these teams have had more than three goals. Suggested bet: Nice not to lose and total goals under 3.5 at odds of 1.71.