Newcastle vs Liverpool: Premier League Prediction (25.08.2025)

On August 25, 2025 at 21:00 CEST, St. James’ Park will host the second-round Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool. Bookmakers consider the visitors only slight favorites. Let’s review the current form of both teams and give a prediction for the game.

Newcastle

A season without European competitions proved beneficial for Eddie Howe’s side—Newcastle focused on the domestic stage and won the English League Cup, ending nearly a 70-year trophy drought. In the final, the Magpies defeated Liverpool. However, the summer preseason turned out poorly: in six friendlies, they suffered four defeats and drew twice.

The transfer market also brought worrying signs. It began brightly with the €61.4m signing of Anthony Elanga, a serious reinforcement. In mid-August, Tijjani Reijnders (from Milan) and Jacob Ramsey (from Aston Villa) were also brought in. But relations with Alexander Isak have broken down completely. Newcastle refused to sell the Swede to Liverpool, considering their offer insufficient, while the player himself wanted to leave. He is currently sidelined, and that absence could heavily affect results, as the team was highly dependent on him last season. Another concern was the opening-round draw against Aston Villa—Newcastle failed to secure victory even with a man advantage.

Liverpool

Liverpool are back at the summit of English football. Under Arne Slot, the “Reds” are not just aiming to remain among the leaders, but to establish themselves as the Premier League’s new dominant force. The Merseyside club also shook up the transfer market this summer, spending around €340m on new signings.

The preseason strengthened their title ambitions: four wins in five friendlies. The only disappointment was the Community Shield loss to Crystal Palace. Still, considering that in the past 15 years only one club has gone on to win the Premier League after lifting the Community Shield, that setback may be more encouraging than worrying. Moreover, Liverpool opened the EPL season with a 4–2 victory against Bournemouth. The only caveat is the number of new players, which will take time to gel as a cohesive unit.

Head-to-head statistics

In the last five meetings, Liverpool lead with three wins to Newcastle’s one. One match ended in a draw. Four of those five games featured at least three goals.

Prediction

For Newcastle vs Liverpool, predicting the outright winner is difficult. The Reds still look somewhat raw, while the hosts are dealing with conflict with their top striker. However, the head-to-head record points toward a high-scoring clash. The bet: over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.56.