Netherlands vs Poland: World Cup Qualification Prediction (04.09.2025)

On September 4, 2025, at 20:45 CEST, at the De Kuip Stadium in Rotterdam, the Netherlands will host Poland in the World Cup 2026 qualifying group stage. At this point, the hosts have beaten Finland 2:0 away and Malta 8:0 at home. The visitors defeated Lithuania 1:0 and Malta 2:0 but lost 1:2 away to Finland.

In the Netherlands vs Poland clash, bookmakers give the visitors little chance. Betting odds: a win for the “Oranje” is priced at 1.28, a draw at 5.70, and a win for the “White-Reds” at 13.00. Over 2.5 goals is valued at 1.78, suggesting an average-scoring game. However, goals are mainly expected from the favorites, with odds of 2.34 for both teams to score.

Netherlands

Ronald Koeman’s side had a great chance to shine in the UEFA Nations League playoffs this year but were eliminated in the quarterfinals by Spain. The Dutch played strongly, drawing twice 2:2 with “La Furia Roja,” and only losing on penalties. Last year, the “Oranje” reached the Euro semifinals, narrowly losing to England 1:2.

Under Koeman, the Netherlands continue to prove they belong among Europe’s elite, with top-class players across all positions, representing the strongest clubs in Europe’s best leagues.

Poland

Poland have yet another new coach, 63-year-old Jan Urban. Last year was highly disappointing for the “White-Reds”: at Euro 2024 they had no chance of escaping their group, and in the Nations League they were relegated to League B, finishing behind Scotland.

There were also issues with star forward Robert Lewandowski under Michal Probierz, leading to his absence against Finland. Now at 36, the striker is ready to return, though doubts remain due to his recent injury while playing for Barcelona.

Head-to-head statistics

Since 2020, the teams have met five times. The Dutch won four, while one ended in a draw. Neither side has scored more than two goals in any of these encounters.

Prediction

Poland will likely play defensively, but some attacking activity is expected. With a new coach, the visitors will want to show their direction. The bet suggestion is on Poland’s corner handicap +4.5 at odds of 1.53.