Napoli vs Cagliari: Serie A Prediction (24.05.2025)

On Saturday, May 24 at 1:45 WIB, Napoli will host Cagliari at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples for the final fixture of the 2024–2025 Serie A season. The hosts currently top the league table, holding a one-point lead over Inter Milan, which means only a win will guarantee them the title. The visitors sit in 14th place, with no relegation threat and little motivation to challenge the league leaders on the road.

Let’s take a closer look at the Napoli vs Cagliari prediction, considering the “golden” motivation of the home side, who are clear favorites among bookmakers. Betting odds for a Napoli win stand at 1.20, a draw at 6.90, and a Cagliari upset at 16.50. Over 2.5 total goals is valued at 1.57, suggesting high scoring expectations. However, it’s assumed most of those goals will come from Napoli, as the bet for both teams to score offers a higher odd of 2.23.

Napoli

It seems like Antonio Conte is intentionally keeping the fans and management on edge. What else could explain back-to-back draws against teams like Genoa (2–2) and Parma (0–0)? Rumors are swirling about a conflict between the head coach and club president Aurelio De Laurentiis. Simultaneously, reports suggest talks with Massimiliano Allegri are underway, hinting he could replace Conte next season.

This is not the best atmosphere leading up to a potential title-deciding game. However, Napoli’s players are elite professionals — and for many, winning the Scudetto is a personal milestone in their careers.

Cagliari

Davide Nicola’s side has lost four of their last six Serie A matches. Their only two wins came against fellow lower-table teams — 2–0 away at Verona and 3–0 at home against Venezia. Against top clubs, the Sardinians have failed to compete effectively.

On the road, Cagliari has lost 10 of their 18 away matches, averaging just 0.89 goals per game away from home.

Head-to-Head & Stats

Since 2022, the teams have met four times, with Napoli winning twice and two 1–1 draws. In the first round of the current season, the Partenopei easily confirmed their dominance with a 4–0 away win over Cagliari.

Prediction

Romelu Lukaku and his teammates simply must do their job, giving fans the green light to storm the pitch and celebrate a long-awaited title. It’s hard to imagine that Cagliari will be the team to spoil Napoli’s championship party.

Recommended bet: Napoli -2 corner handicap (1st half) at odds of 1.76.