Monza vs Frosinone: Italian Cup Prediction (17.08.2025)

On Sunday, 17 August at 23:00 WIB, at the Brianteo Stadium in Monza, the local club will host Frosinone in the 1/32 finals of the 2025–2026 Coppa Italia. This will be the opening match for both teams in the tournament and the new season overall. In last year’s national cup, the hosts reached the Round of 16, where they lost 0–4 to Bologna. The visitors, meanwhile, were eliminated immediately, falling 0–3 to Pisa.

In the Monza vs Frosinone prediction, we consider their performances in Serie B and pre-season friendlies. Neither side is viewed as a genuine contender for the title. Betting on the Brianzoli to win the Coppa Italia comes with odds of 151.00, while for the Canarini it is 251.00.

Monza

Last season, the club was still in Serie A, but managed to win only 3 of 38 matches, becoming the weakest team in the league and suffering relegation. It was the first major test for former legendary defender Alessandro Nesta as head coach, but after the failure he was dismissed. His place was taken by Paolo Bianco, who had previously managed Modena and Frosinone.

In Serie A, the team conceded far too many goals. During the offseason, management focused on strengthening the defense and midfield anchor role. However, the overall squad quality remains roughly the same, with main hopes pinned on the new coach.

Frosinone

After the departure of Paolo Bianco, the “Yellow-Blues” appointed Massimiliano Alvini, who has coached Perugia, Cremonese, Cosenza, and Spezia. In the last Serie B campaign, Frosinone finished 15th, only one point above the relegation playoff zone. The summer did not bring major reinforcements—mostly signings from other Serie B clubs or lower leagues. It is clear the team has no special tournament ambitions.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Since 2022, the teams have met four times, with each side recording two wins. The average total across these meetings is four goals per game.

Prediction

It is difficult to gauge the exact condition of the teams at the very start of the season. However, their head-to-head clashes are usually open, competitive, and high-scoring. Pick: Both teams to score & total over 2.5 goals.