Montpellier vs Paris Saint-Germain: Ligue 1 Prediction (11.05.2025)

The Ligue 1 match between Montpellier and Paris Saint-Germain will take place on May 11, 2025, at 02:00 WIB. This game is meaningless for both teams. Montpellier has already been relegated, while PSG is finishing the season as the champions. This only adds an element of surprise, as the result can be quite unpredictable. Despite this, PSG is clearly favored by the bookmakers. Here’s an overview of both teams’ current form and our prediction for the game.

Montpellier

“The Paladins” have been the worst team this season. They have only accumulated 16 points from 32 games. The main issue for Montpellier has been their very weak attacking play. While they also struggle defensively, their toothless attack has made it difficult for them to earn points, even against teams from the lower half of the table. Their goal tally stands at 22 scored and 72 conceded after 32 matches. Montpellier has not won in their last 13 matches, earning only one point during this stretch.

Paris Saint-Germain

PSG approaches this match after a tough second leg against Arsenal in the Champions League semifinals. As a result, there may be player rotations in the starting lineup. PSG has recently paid little attention to Ligue 1 matches. The French champions have not won in their last three games, losing to Nice (1-3) and Strasbourg (1-2). Therefore, it’s unwise to expect a confident victory from them. However, since both teams are playing without motivation, PSG could easily have a goal-fest or even demolish their demoralized opponents.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

In the last five encounters between the two teams, PSG has won every match with a significant advantage. The first encounter this season ended in a commanding 6-0 victory for PSG.

Prediction

For the Montpellier vs Paris Saint-Germain match, we predict a win for the visitors. Montpellier has been very uncompetitive this season, and the head-to-head history heavily favors PSG. Therefore, we recommend betting on PSG to win with a handicap of –1.5 at odds of 1.65.