Monaco vs Lyon: Ligue 1 Prediction (11.05.2025)

Monaco vs Lyon: Ligue 1 Prediction (May 11, 2025)

On May 11, 2025, at 02:00 WIB, a Ligue 1 match between Monaco and Lyon will take place. This match is expected to be intense and crucial for both teams. Bookmakers favor the home side. Let’s look at the current form of each team and offer our prediction.

Monaco

With two rounds remaining in the season, Monaco sits in third place in the standings, just one point behind second-place Marseille. However, the competition at the top is extremely tight. Monaco leads sixth-place Strasbourg by only a single point, meaning there’s no room for mistakes. Considering they’ll face a tough opponent, Lens, in the final round, two slip-ups could cost them a European competition spot.

There are no major absences in the squad. Aleksandr Golovin is the only player definitely ruled out. Meanwhile, striker Mikkel Biret remains a doubt due to injury. If the Danish forward is unavailable, it would be a significant blow to Monaco’s attack, as he is the club’s top scorer (13 goals and 2 assists) despite only joining during the winter transfer window.

Lyon

Lyon’s season has been inconsistent. They spent a long time in the Champions League zone, but a dip in form led to a coaching change. Paulo Fonseca took charge to turn things around, but he is serving a nine-month touchline ban and won’t be present on the sidelines in Ligue 1 until the end of the year.

The team also suffered a demoralizing Europa League exit, followed by losses to Saint-Étienne (1-2) and Lens (1-2). As a result, Lyon has dropped to seventh place, outside the European qualification zone. However, they are just three points behind the trio of teams ahead of them, and their final game is against struggling Angers. That makes it essential for Lyon to earn all three points in this match to keep their European hopes alive.

Head-to-Head Stats

In the last five head-to-head meetings, Lyon has a slight edge with three wins to Monaco’s two. However, their first meeting this season ended with a 2-0 away win for Monaco.

Prediction

In the Monaco vs Lyon clash, our prediction favors a goal-scoring performance from the visitors. Fonseca’s men have no choice but to take risks. They need to score and fight for the win to maintain their European qualification hopes. Therefore, we recommend a bet on Lyon to score over 1 goal, with odds of 1.53.