Milan vs Monza: Serie A Prediction (25.05.2025)

On Saturday, May 25 at 01:45 WIB, local football club Milan will host Monza at the San Siro Stadium in the final match of the 38th round of the 2024–2025 Italian Serie A season. The home side currently sit in ninth place — they won’t drop lower, but they also can’t reach the European competition zone. Therefore, a victory in this season-ending home match is more a matter of pride. The visitors have already been relegated to Serie B and are finishing the season in low spirits.

In the Milan vs Monza match, bookmakers clearly favor the home team. A bet on a Rossoneri win comes with low odds of 1.22, a draw is priced at 7.10, and a win for the Biancorossi is given odds of 13.00. Over 2.5 total goals is offered at 1.37, indicating that experts expect a high-scoring match. Bets on both teams to score are accepted at 1.82.

Milan

Sérgio Conceição did not turn out to be the savior for the Milanese giants this season, and the club’s management is already actively searching for a replacement for the Portuguese coach. For the first time in nine years, the Rossoneri will finish a Serie A season outside the top six. This is a real failure, which could have been softened by winning the national cup — but Milan lost the final to Bologna 0–1.

It’s not that the team lacked attacking sharpness. Milan scored more goals than current leaders Napoli. However, conceding 43 goals in 37 matches is simply too much. Among the top six teams, only Lazio conceded more.

Monza

Alessandro Nesta took up the challenge and took charge of the struggling team in early February. However, that did not save the Biancorossi. Under the new coach, Monza played 13 matches and collected just five points: drawing 0–0 with Lecce and 1–1 with Parma, and winning 2–1 away against Udinese. On average, Monza scores 0.76 goals per game and concedes 1.81. The team’s top scorer, Dany Mota, has scored only five goals all season.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Since 2022, the teams have faced each other five times, and Milan has won all of them. In the first round of this season, the Rossoneri claimed a 1–0 away victory.

Prediction

It’s hard to say how motivated Christian Pulisic and his teammates will be for this match. On the other hand, it’s the final game of the season, played at home and against the league’s bottom side. They won’t want to disappoint the home fans, and a win is necessary at least for the sake of pride. We expect the home side to start the match actively and recommend betting on Milan to win the first half, with odds of 1.57.