Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad: Europa League Qualifying Prediction (14.08.2025)

On Thursday, August 14, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, at the MCH Arena in Herning, Denmark, the second-leg clash of the UEFA Europa League qualifying semi-finals will take place between Midtjylland and Fredrikstad. The home side are clear favorites according to bookmakers, with average odds of 1.40 for a win compared to 7.50 for their opponents. Let’s look at the current form of both teams and provide a match prediction.

Midtjylland

The “Wolves” ended last season strongly and have kept up their momentum into the current campaign. Last week, the club strengthened their defense by signing Martin Erlić from Bologna. This signing was necessary, as Midtjylland have had defensive reliability issues. The team play a very attacking style, score plenty, but also concede in almost every match.

Midtjylland entered the Europa League qualifying in the second round, where they narrowly overcame Hibernian. Both matches ended in draws in regular time, but the Danes managed to win in extra time. In the first leg against Fredrikstad, Midtjylland won away by a two-goal margin (3:1), significantly easing their task for the return match.

Fredrikstad

The Norwegian “Aristocrats” are far from their best form. In the domestic league, they sit around seventh place, with only 7 wins in 18 matches. Away games have been particularly problematic — just 1 win in 8 on the road. In terms of away points, they are among the bottom five in Norway’s top flight. Last season, the team finished only sixth, but reached the third round of Europa League qualifying thanks to winning the national cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The teams have met twice in the past 18 months. In a 2024 friendly tournament, Fredrikstad came out on top 1:0. Last week, Midtjylland earned a 3:1 away victory. The match stats were similar overall, but the Danes were more clinical in the final third.

Prediction

Predicting the winner of Midtjylland – Fredrikstad is tricky. The match could even end in a draw. The home side will likely try to protect their comfortable lead, but defensive stability is not their strong suit. Fredrikstad, already trailing by two goals, will need to take risks from the start. A good betting option is first-half total over 1 goal at odds of 1.67.