Marseille vs Rennes: Ligue 1 Prediction (18.05.2025)

On 18 May 2025 at 00:00 Astana time, the final round of the French Ligue 1 season will see Marseille host Rennes at the Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. Bookmakers favor the home team in this encounter. Let’s analyze the current form of both teams and provide our match prediction.

Marseille

The Provencal side could not challenge PSG for the title this season but still competes fiercely for second place. The battle for this spot will continue until the very last round. Monaco trails closely behind, just one point off. As typical of Roberto De Zerbi’s style, Marseille showcases exciting attacking football but relies heavily on defensive solidity, reflected in their goal difference of 70 scored and 45 conceded. The team is in good form, unbeaten in the last four league games after a loss to Monaco.

Rennes

Meanwhile, the Red and Blacks lack tournament motivation. Despite winning 3 of their last 5 matches, they are positioned only 11th in the table. The best they can hope for is to move one place up or down, which is insignificant at this point. Historically, matches between these two clubs are tense due to their rivalry, and Rennes always prepares intensely for games against Marseille. However, this season Rennes has been unimpressive, especially away from home, where they rank among the bottom three teams.

Head-to-Head Stats

The last five meetings favor Marseille with 3 wins to 1, and 1 draw. In the first meeting this season, Marseille won away 2-1. Rennes dominated many statistical aspects and played more offensively, as shown by an xG of 1.63 vs. 1.43 in favor of Rennes, and shots on target of 7 to 4, but could not convert that dominance into victory.

Prediction

Our prediction favors the home side Marseille, based on their motivation and quality difference. We recommend a straight win on Marseille at odds of 1.69.