Malta vs Lithuania: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction (07.06.2025)

On Saturday, June 7 at 23:00 WIB, at the National Stadium in Ta’ Qali, the Malta national football team will host Lithuania in the third round of Group G in the European qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The hosts have lost twice and are at the bottom of the standings, while the guests have earned one point from two matches played. Both teams are clear underdogs in a group that also includes the Netherlands, Poland, and Finland.

In the Malta – Lithuania matchup, bookmakers give the teams roughly equal chances. A win for the “Ioannites” can be bet on at odds of 2.87, a draw at 2.77, and a win for the “yellow-greens” at 2.93. Experts do not expect a high number of goals in this match: the total over 2.5 goals is rated at a high 2.77 odds. For both teams to score, bets are accepted at 2.12 odds.

Malta

This year in January, the team appointed a new coach: Italian Emilio De Leo became the head coach. Under his leadership, the “red-whites” lost at home to Finland 0:1 and away to Poland 0:2. These results are fairly acceptable in terms of scorelines. In the upcoming match, team captain Teddy Teuma, who is injured, is unlikely to play, which could significantly affect the result. It is clear that only in matches against Lithuania do Malta have chances to gain points.

Lithuania

Led by Edgaras Jankauskas, Lithuania surprisingly managed to earn a point in the current qualifiers, drawing 2:2 at home against Finland. Being the underdogs in that match, Lithuania allowed the visitors to have the initiative and created few goal chances, so scoring two goals was quite unexpected.

This draw is especially remarkable considering Lithuania’s poor autumn performance in the UEFA Nations League, where they lost all matches and were relegated to League D. One notable player is 21-year-old midfielder Gvidas Gineitis, who regularly started last season for Italian club Torino.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

The teams last met during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers. Lithuania won 2:0 at home and drew 1:1 in Ta’ Qali.

Prediction

Against Finland, Lithuania showed team spirit by coming back from a 0:2 deficit. Currently, the Baltic team’s attacking line looks the weakest, but their defense tries to avoid many mistakes. A combined betting option for this match is Lithuania not to lose and total goals under 3.5 with odds of 1.66.