Malmö vs RFS: UEFA Champions League Prediction (31.07.2025)

On July 31, 2025, at 00:00 WIB, the second leg of the UEFA Champions League qualification quarterfinal between Malmö and RFS will take place. The outcome of this matchup appears to be almost decided after the first leg. The Swedish club is clearly stronger. The only question is whether the visitors can offer any resistance this time. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and provide our prediction for the match.

Malmö

The Swedish league is in full swing, meaning Malmö’s players are in good match rhythm. Moreover, the Sky Blues are on a ten-game unbeaten run. However, this season hasn’t been entirely smooth for the club from southern Sweden, as they are currently battling just to stay in the top three. Still, the Swedish league is far superior to the Latvian championship, as clearly reflected in the first-leg result against RFS — a three-goal advantage away from home. It’s also worth noting that in the previous round, Malmö had no trouble defeating Georgian side Iberia, winning 3–1 in both legs.

RFS

RFS is an experienced team that regularly competes in European qualifying rounds. Occasionally, the club manages to reach the main stages. For example, the Riga-based side played in the group stage of the 2022/23 UEFA Conference League and also participated in the general stage of the Europa League last season, although they only managed a 32nd-place finish. However, as practice shows, RFS struggles against stronger opponents. The team clearly falls short of Champions League standards and only qualifies for the Europa League when the match schedule is favorable. A heavy home defeat to Malmö has practically erased all hopes of advancing to the UCL qualifying semifinals.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The teams have faced each other twice. In December 2024, Malmö won narrowly with a 1–0 scoreline. But last week, the Swedish side put four goals past their opponents and conceded just one in return (4–1).

Prediction

For the Malmö vs RFS match, we predict a home win. However, a major blowout seems less likely this time. Malmö’s coach may rotate the squad, and the team has the option to manage the game by focusing more on defense. A logical outcome would be a home victory by one or two goals. Therefore, we suggest betting on RFS with a +2 handicap at odds of 1.71.