Mainz vs Rosenborg: UEFA Conference League Qualification Prediction (28.08.2025)

On Thursday, August 28 at 21:00 CEST, Mainz will host Rosenborg in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League qualification playoff final. This is one of the most high-profile ties of the round, with huge intrigue. Rosenborg carry a first-leg advantage, but bookmakers still favor the Germans at home.

Mainz

The Bundesliga season has just started, and this clash with Rosenborg is Mainz’s first true test. Their earlier cup tie against second-division Dresden wasn’t a proper indicator of the team’s strength.

In Norway, the 05ers looked raw and lacked pace, cohesion, and finishing quality. The away factor also played a role, with Rosenborg looking bolder and more comfortable. Now at home, in front of their supporters, Bo Henriksen’s men are expected to show more aggression and motivation.

Losing the first leg as favorites obliges Mainz not only to play better but to redeem themselves and prove their status.

Rosenborg

The Little Trolls have been inconsistent in Norway’s domestic league, sitting fifth and winning just two of their last five games. However, their European form has been far stronger.

They demolished Lithuania’s Banga 7-0 on aggregate, then edged Hammarby thanks to a single goal. Against “The Zero-Fivers” at home, Rosenborg showed real character, proving they can compete for a place in Europe.

Head-to-head statistics

Last week was their first-ever meeting. Despite only 40% possession, Rosenborg looked sharper: they outshot Mainz on target 8-4 and led in expected goals, 2.57 vs 0.41.

Prediction

In Mainz vs Rosenborg, an early goal looks likely. At home, the 05ers will attack aggressively to overturn the deficit.

The best bet: First-half over 1 goal at Odds 1.59.