Lyon vs Rennes: Ligue 1 Prediction (April 27, 2025)

On Sunday, April 27, 2025, at 00:05 Astana time, Lyon host Rennes in a Ligue 1 Matchday 31 fixture. Bookmakers label Lyon as favorites, but a closer look at team form and motivation offers more nuanced betting insights.

Lyon

Morale is low for “Les Gones” following their heartbreaking Europa League exit against Manchester United. Lyon led by two goals in extra time, yet failed to see the match through and were eliminated before penalties. That emotional blow, paired with fatigue, led to a surprising 2-1 defeat to relegation-strugglers Saint-Étienne in their last league match. Now sitting sixth, Lyon are only ahead of Strasbourg on goal difference, and a tough run-in looms with Lens and Monaco up next before a more manageable final fixture against Angers.

Rennes

The visitors no longer have much to play for this season, comfortably mid-table in 10th. While Rennes have shown poor away form overall this season, they’ve recently flipped the script, winning four of their last five away games for 12 points. However, that run followed a stretch where they earned just one point away from home all season. A soft recent schedule likely contributed to the improved numbers.

Stats and Head-to-Head

Rennes have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five against Lyon. In the first encounter this season, Rennes comfortably beat Lyon 3-0 at home.

Prediction

Lyon’s psychological state is fragile after their European exit. The head-to-head stats also favor Rennes, and Lyon’s coach will miss the match due to suspension. This makes the home side’s win far from guaranteed. Betting on Rennes with a +1 handicap at odds of 1.66 looks like the smarter play.