Leganes vs Valladolid: La Liga Prediction (24.05.2025)

On May 24, 2025, at 23:30 WIB, the final round match of the Spanish championship between Leganes and Valladolid will take place. Bookmakers clearly consider the home team the heavy favorite. Let’s analyze both teams’ motivations in the standings, their current form, and provide our prediction for the match.

Leganes

Los Pepineros are in a tough situation. Heading into Matchday 38, the team sits in the relegation zone, occupying 18th place in the standings. In this regard, Leganes is fortunate to be playing their final game of the season against a clear outsider that has long lost both motivation and any chance of remaining in La Liga.

They are just two points behind Espanyol, who sit one place above. The recent form of Borja Jiménez’s squad is also promising — they’ve only lost one of their last five games, and that loss came against Villarreal, a top-tier team. However, on the final day, they won’t just need to win themselves, but also hope their rivals slip up. Even a draw for Espanyol could be acceptable since Leganes has the advantage in head-to-head results.

Valladolid

The White and Purples are undoubtedly the worst team in this season’s La Liga. Pucela has earned just 16 points in 37 rounds — only slightly better than the historic low of 13 points set by Sporting Gijon in 1998. Valladolid couldn’t even compete with the teams directly around them in the table.

On the road, they’ve lost 17 of 18 matches with a total goal difference of 15:55. This points to massive issues both in defense and attack. Valladolid hasn’t won in more than four months, earning just one point in 18 matches during that period.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Both teams were promoted to La Liga this season, so their head-to-head history is fairly easy to assess. The last three matches between Leganes and Valladolid all ended in draws. Before that, Valladolid had won three in a row.

Prediction

In the Leganes vs Valladolid match, the obvious prediction is a home win. Home advantage and motivation should play a major role for Leganes. However, the overwhelming edge suggested by the bookmakers’ odds seems exaggerated. Therefore, a good betting option might be a handicap on Valladolid +2 at odds of 1.54.