Lech Poznan vs Crvena Zvezda: UEFA Champions League Prediction (06.08.2025)

On August 6, 2025, at 20:30 CET, the first leg of the Champions League qualification semifinals between Lech Poznan and Crvena Zvezda will take place. Bookmakers consider the opponents to be roughly equal in strength and expect a competitive encounter. We will look at the current form of the teams and give our prediction for the match.

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan became champions of Poland not without problems. Only in the final rounds did they manage to overtake Rakow by one point. But the current season started for the team back on July 13. Since then, Lech has played six matches, which is enough to find match rhythm. The start of the season was very shaky for the club. First, the Poznan side lost to Legia in the Polish Super Cup, and then began the league campaign with a heavy defeat to Cracovia (1–4). However, after that Lech only won, putting together a run of four consecutive victories. Of particular note was their tie with Breidablik in the second round of Champions League qualification. The Polish club won the first leg at home 7–1, making the second leg a formality, and still managed to win away 1–0.

Crvena Zvezda

The “Red and Whites” are the absolute hegemon of Serbian football. The team collected 100 points in last season’s league campaign, finishing 27 points ahead of their nearest rival. Crvena Zvezda also comfortably won the Serbian Cup, defeating Vojvodina 3–0 in the final. In the Champions League, the club played in the main stage but failed to reach the playoffs. At the same time, it is worth noting their 5–1 victory over Stuttgart, showing that Crvena Zvezda can deliver strong performances even against tougher opponents. The current season started very confidently, winning their first two league matches with an aggregate score of 11–1. Their tie with Lincoln Red Imps in the previous Champions League qualifying round was also high-scoring – 6–1 on aggregate.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met only once before, and that was in a friendly match 15 years ago. Lech came out on top, winning 3–1.

Prediction

In the Lech Poznan – Crvena Zvezda match, we predict a high-scoring game. The Serbian side plays open football, focusing heavily on attack, which affects their defensive reliability. While this approach works in the domestic league due to a lower level of opposition, against the Polish champions such a style may lead to a goal shootout. In this case, we suggest betting on total over 2 goals at odds of 1.55.