Lech Poznań vs Breidablik: UEFA Champions League Prediction (23.07.2025)

On July 23, 2025 at 01:30 WIB, Lech Poznań will host Breidablik in the UEFA Champions League qualification quarterfinal. Bookmakers clearly favor the home side. Let’s take a look at the current form of both teams and offer our prediction for the match.

Lech Poznań

The “Railwaymen” claimed the Polish championship last season after a tightly contested title race. They only managed to edge out Raków by a single point in the final rounds. It’s worth noting that Lech had a relatively quiet off-season, both in terms of friendlies and transfer activity.

They played just two preseason matches — against Chrobry Głogów (2–1) from Poland’s second division, and Czech side Baník Ostrava (1–2). Although a few new signings were made, they are not expected to significantly impact the team’s performance. Lech have already begun their official season. They lost the Polish Super Cup to Legia (1–2), and on July 18, they played Cracovia in the opening round of the domestic league.

Breidablik

The reigning champions of Iceland began their European campaign from the first qualifying round. The draw was relatively favorable for them, as they faced Albania’s Egnatia — one of the weaker possible opponents. Even so, Breidablik encountered difficulties. They lost the away leg 0–1, but bounced back emphatically at home with a 5–0 win.

The team appears to be in good rhythm, as the Icelandic league is currently at its halfway point, and Breidablik are part of a tight race among the top three.

Stats and Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between the two teams. This will be their first-ever encounter.

Prediction

In the Lech Poznań vs Breidablik match, we predict a home win. Icelandic clubs generally do not perform well on the European stage. For instance, last year Breidablik were eliminated in the quarterfinals of the UEFA Conference League qualifiers by Kosovo’s Drita. Since then, the level of the Icelandic side has not improved significantly. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Lech Poznań win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.67.