Le Havre vs Monaco: Ligue 1 Prediction (April 26, 2025)

On Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 22:00 Astana time, Le Havre host AS Monaco at Stade Océane for Matchday 31 of the 2024/25 French Ligue 1 season. The hosts sit 16th with 27 points — a spot that would send them to the relegation playoffs. They’re three points behind 15th-placed Angers and level on points with 17th-placed Saint-Étienne, making their position highly unstable. Monaco, meanwhile, are chasing second place, just one point behind Marseille, but are also at risk of dropping out of the top five with Lyon only three points back.

Prediction for Le Havre vs Monaco considers the strong motivation on both sides. Unsurprisingly, Monaco are favorites with the bookies. Le Havre win: 6.70; draw: 5.10; Monaco win: 1.45. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.47, indicating an expected high-scoring affair. Both teams to score sits at 1.62.

Le Havre

Didier Digard’s men have picked up three wins in their last seven Ligue 1 games since March — a solid run, but perhaps too late to avoid the drop battle. Defensive frailties remain a huge issue. Le Havre have conceded 64 goals in 30 matches, among the worst in the league. At home, they’re averaging 2.47 goals conceded per match.

Monaco

Adi Hütter’s side must win to stay in the race for a podium finish. A goalless draw with Strasbourg last week cost them second place. After Le Havre, they’ll face Saint-Étienne before a tough run-in against Lyon and Lens. Falling out of the top three would be a disappointing end to their campaign, so their motivation is extremely high.

Stats and Head-to-Head

Since Le Havre’s return to Ligue 1 in 2023, the teams have met three times. The 2023–24 season saw two draws, but Monaco came out on top 3-1 in this season’s first meeting.

Prediction

Le Havre are fighting for survival, but their defensive record is poor — especially against top-tier opposition. Monaco, with higher quality and strong motivation, should secure a solid win. Our pick: Monaco -1.5 handicap at odds of 2.16.