Le Havre vs Marseille: Ligue 1 Prediction (11.05.2025)

On May 11, 2025 at 02:00 WIB, a Ligue 1 match between Le Havre and Marseille will take place. This game is important for both teams, though their objectives in the standings differ. Bookmakers see the visitors as the favorites. Let’s look at the teams’ current form and provide our prediction for the match.

Le Havre

“The Sky and Dark Blues” have recently started picking up points: 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. This form comes at a crucial time as they fight to stay in the French top flight. Le Havre currently sits in 16th place, which is the promotion/relegation play-off zone against a second-division side. However, they are only one point behind Nantes and two behind Angers and Reims. Their lead over the direct relegation zone is just four points. Even that cushion isn’t particularly safe, especially considering they have a tough finish to the season: after facing Marseille, they’ll take on Strasbourg.

Marseille

The Provençal side has managed to reclaim second place in the table, but they must fight to hold onto it until the season ends. For context, even the sixth-place team trails Marseille by just two points. This means that any slip-up by Roberto De Zerbi’s men could result in a major drop in the standings. This pressure adds weight to their campaign, but also motivates the players. Marseille has been excellent in attack—scoring 67 goals in 32 rounds—second only to Paris Saint-Germain.

Head-to-Head Stats

Since Le Havre returned to Ligue 1 in 2023, the teams have met three times. Marseille has won all three matches. In fact, they dominated on two occasions, including a 5-1 victory in their first encounter this season.

Prediction

In the Le Havre vs Marseille match, our prediction favors the visitors. Under different circumstances, the home side might have had a shot at earning points. But given the current situation, Marseille can’t afford any mistakes and will give it their all. Therefore, we suggest betting on a Marseille win at odds of 1.55.