Lazio vs Lecce: Serie A Prediction (26.05.2025)

On Sunday, May 26 at 01:45 WIB, local football club Lazio will host Lecce at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome in the final matchday of the 2024–2025 Italian Serie A season. The home side is currently in sixth place, but with a win and favorable results elsewhere, they could rise as high as fourth. The visitors, meanwhile, are on the brink of the relegation zone—any dropped points in this match could be fatal.

We’ll make a prediction for the Lazio vs Lecce match taking into account the high stakes for both sides, although bookmakers give the more renowned home side a much better chance. A bet on a Lazio win is offered at odds of 1.58, a draw at 3.72, and a Lecce victory at 7.45. Experts don’t expect a high-scoring game: over 2.5 total goals is priced at 1.86, while both teams to score stands at 1.82.

Lazio

Marco Baroni’s team has gone unbeaten in their last eight Serie A matches. However, they’ve dropped ten points in that span due to a series of draws. Adding to their woes was their elimination from the UEFA Europa League by Norwegian side Bodo/Glimt—making April and May a bleak period for Lazio fans.

In the current Serie A season, Lazio is the third-highest scoring team, but their defense has proven to be a weak link. The “Eagles” concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, which has essentially cost them a shot at a podium finish.

Lecce

Marco Giampaolo’s side managed to earn three crucial points in the previous round with a narrow 1–0 home win over a demotivated Torino. This gave the club’s fans renewed hope of staying in the top flight. But now they must defeat one of the league’s top teams, and Lecce’s away form has been poor all season—just three wins and eleven losses on the road. For context: Lecce averages 0.72 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in away matches.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Since 2023, the teams have faced off five times. Each has won two matches, but Lazio has won the last two meetings. In the first round of the current season, Lazio beat Lecce 2–1 away.

Prediction

One of the weakest defenses in this Serie A season will try to contain one of the most dangerous attacks. It’s hard to believe that Lazio, in their final home match of the season, won’t be fired up for a win. Valentin Castellanos, Boulaye Dia, and other teammates are expected to step up and deliver. Therefore, we recommend betting on Lazio’s individual total over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.68.