Kazakhstan vs Wales: World Cup Qualification Prediction (04.09.2025)

On September 4, 2025, at 16:00 CEST, at the Astana Arena, the World Cup qualification match between Kazakhstan and Wales will take place. Bookmakers see the guests as favorites. However, the British side faces a long flight, which could influence the balance of power. Let’s analyze the teams’ current form and provide our prediction.

Kazakhstan

After Magomed Adiev’s departure, Kazakhstan’s national team has notably slowed down. Problems had already surfaced under Stanislav Cherchesov, and the new coach, Ali Aliev, has yet to build stable play.
In World Cup qualifying, the team has played three matches: defeating only Liechtenstein (2:0) and losing the other two. Away against Wales, the “Hawks” ceded possession almost entirely, having the ball only 28% of the time, and lost 1:3. At home versus North Macedonia, they were more active but failed to convert chances, suffering a narrow 0:1 defeat. As a result, Kazakhstan sits second from the bottom in the group, ahead of only Liechtenstein.

Wales

The Welsh have long established themselves as solid mid-tier contenders in European football, known for being able to trouble any opponent regardless of status. This is a strong, balanced, and organized team. Wales is effective both in positional play and on set-pieces, with plenty of physically strong players. Unsurprisingly, Craig Bellamy’s squad is among the group favorites.
Wales has already played four World Cup qualifiers. At home, they had no problems beating Kazakhstan and Liechtenstein. However, in away games, they dropped points twice: first with a 1:1 draw against North Macedonia, and then losing a thrilling 3:4 shootout to Belgium.

Head-to-head statistics

These teams first met in March this year. The Welsh fully controlled the home match and deservedly won 3:1.

Prediction

In the Kazakhstan vs Wales match, the prediction leans toward the hosts. Wales will face a long flight and acclimatization, which could affect their performance. The “Hawks” traditionally perform better in front of their home fans. Therefore, we suggest betting on Kazakhstan with a handicap of +1 at odds of 1.84.